Market pricing
RBA rate expectations for December 2026
ASX market-implied probabilities for the next RBA interest rate decision, with the pricing date and official source. Market pricing is an expectation, not a guarantee.
Next RBA decision
Tuesday 8 December 2026 · 2:30 pm AEDT
RBA meeting details for Tuesday 8 December 2026 See all official RBA meeting datesCurrent cash rate target
4.85%
Effective 2026-11-04 · verified 2026-11-10
Market expectation
What are markets pricing?
Pricing for the 8 Dec 2026 decision
ASX market-implied probabilities
Hold
100%
This is market pricing, not a guarantee of what the RBA will decide.
This is a market-derived indicator based on 30 Day Interbank Cash Rate Futures.
The latest official result
3 Nov 2026
RBA hiked the cash rate target to 4.85%
The official result is historical and is not an expectation for the next meeting.
Read the meeting pageHow to read the page
Use “markets are pricing” for the futures-derived indicator and “the RBA decided” for the official result. Market probabilities can change as new information arrives.
ASX pricing reflects futures-market expectations. It does not establish what the RBA will decide or how a lender will change its mortgage rates.